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Polymarket 24h Equity Strike Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
187
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0
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0
Active Installs
4
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-24h-equity-strike-trader
Description
Trades structural mispricings in equity/stock price-threshold markets by reconstructing the implied probability curve across strike levels for the same compa...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears internally consistent, but take these precautions before installing:
- Treat SIMMER_API_KEY as high-value: only provide it if you trust the Simmer account and service. Consider using a key with limited permissions if possible.
- Keep the default paper/sim mode when testing (run without --live) and verify behavior against simulated markets first.
- Audit or review the simmer-sdk package (PyPI/GitHub) before installing to ensure it matches expected behavior and endpoints.
- Inspect the full trader.py (run locally) and logs during a trial run to confirm no unexpected outbound endpoints or actions.
- Only enable live trading after manual review and when you accept the financial risk; tunables in clawhub.json control position sizing and thresholds.
If you want, I can scan the remainder of trader.py (the truncated tail) for any hidden network calls or unexpected behavior before you install.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-24h-equity-strike-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill implements a legitimate mathematical arbitrage strategy for Polymarket equity strike ladders, specifically targeting monotonicity and bin-sum inconsistencies in stock price markets. The code in `trader.py` is well-structured, uses a dedicated trading SDK (`simmer-sdk`), and includes safety features such as a default paper-trading mode and configurable risk thresholds. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description, SKILL.md, clawhub.json, and trader.py all describe the same functionality (discover Polymarket strike/threshold markets, reconstruct implied distributions, detect violations, and place trades via Simmer). Declared dependency (simmer-sdk) and required env var (SIMMER_API_KEY) directly match the described trading integration.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md instructs discovery, parsing, curve construction, ranking, and execution; it explicitly defaults to simulation and only performs live trades with an explicit flag. Instructions and trader.py do not request unrelated files, unrelated environment variables, or hidden exfiltration steps in the parts provided.
Install Mechanism
No external downloads or extract steps; the package declares a PyPI dependency (simmer-sdk) and no custom install URLs. This is a standard third-party library install and is proportionate to a trading integration.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required for operation; other runtime tunables are optional environment variables declared in clawhub.json. Requesting a single trading API key is appropriate for a trading skill. Note: SIMMER_API_KEY is high-value and grants trading authority on the Simmer venue.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart: false and cron: null mean it won't run automatically by default. always is false. The automaton entrypoint points to trader.py (expected for a skill that can be executed), and the code calls apply_skill_config only if present. No privileged system-wide modifications are attempted in the provided code.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-24h-equity-strike-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-24h-equity-strike-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of 24h Equity Strike Trader.
- Detects and trades mathematical mispricings in equity price-threshold markets on Polymarket by reconstructing implied probability curves.
- Identifies three types of curve violations: monotonicity breaks, range-sum inconsistencies, and bin-sum over/underflows.
- Supports paper and live trading modes, with strong safeguards and adjustable risk/tunable parameters.
- Works with multiple tickers (PLTR, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, SpaceX, Nasdaq-100, etc.) and parses market ladders automatically.
- Requires simmer-sdk dependency and SIMMER_API_KEY for operation.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket 24h Equity Strike Trader?
Trades structural mispricings in equity/stock price-threshold markets by reconstructing the implied probability curve across strike levels for the same compa... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 187 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket 24h Equity Strike Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-24h-equity-strike-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket 24h Equity Strike Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket 24h Equity Strike Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket 24h Equity Strike Trader support?
Polymarket 24h Equity Strike Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket 24h Equity Strike Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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